Large deviation and self-similarity analysis of graphs: DAX stock prices
نویسندگان
چکیده
Two methods for analyzing graphs such as those occurring in the stock market, geographical profiles and rough surfaces, are investigated. They are based on different scaling laws for the distributions of jumps as a function of the lag. The first is a large deviation analysis, and the second is based on the concept of a self-similar process introduced by Mandelbrot and van Ness. We show that large deviation analysis does not apply to either the stock market nor fractional Brownian motion (H = 0.5). Instead the analysis based on self-similarity is applicable to both, and does indicate that especially the negative log-price fluctuations have a large degree of self-similarity. The latter analysis allows one to probe the degree of self-similarity of a process, beyond what is possible with the exponent H typically used to describe self-affine graphs.
منابع مشابه
Self-similarity of high-frequency USD-DEM exchange rates
High frequency DEM-USD exchange rate data (resolution > 2 seconds) are analyzed for their scaling behavior as a function of the time lag. Motivated by the finding that the distribution of 1-quote returns is rather insensitive to the physical time duration between successive quotes, lags are measured in units of quotes. The mean absolute returns over lags of different sizes, shows three differen...
متن کاملRanking and Managing Stock in the Stock Market Using Fundamental and Technical Analyses
The stock selection problem is one of the major issues in the investment industry, which is mainly solved by analyzing financial ratios. However, considering the complexity and imprecise patterns of the stock market, obvious and easy-to-understand investment rules, based on fundamental analysis, are difficult to obtain. Fundamental and technical analyses are two common methods for predicting th...
متن کاملRanking and Managing Stock in the Stock Market Using Fundamental and Technical Analyses
The stock selection problem is one of the major issues in the investment industry, which is mainly solved by analyzing financial ratios. However, considering the complexity and imprecise patterns of the stock market, obvious and easy-to-understand investment rules, based on fundamental analysis, are difficult to obtain. Fundamental and technical analyses are two common methods for predicting th...
متن کاملForecasting Stock Market Volatility and the Informational Efficiency of the DAX- index Options Market
Alternative strategies for predicting stock market volatility are examined. In out-of-sample forecasting experiments implied-volatility information, derived from contemporaneously observed option prices or history-based volatility predictors, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine if they are more appropriate for predicting future return volatility. Employing German DAX-index retu...
متن کاملStock prices and house prices: Which one affects the other?
Stocks and houses as two major assets which play important role in the balance sheet of Iranian households. Changes in two markets have a large influence on wealth and the general economy. The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between stock and house prices over a thirty-year period using vector auto-regression (VAR). Using yearly data for the period from 1985 to 2013, we con...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 1995